Well, that needs no explanation. Sometimes, people would borrow just
to show others that they could get a loan. Well, they learnt a hard
lesson. But 16 years on, some people are doing the same thing again;
many borrow money on the basis of good job security, oblivious of hard
times ahead.
The movie "The Company Men" reflects this. Bobby
Walker (Ben Affleck) buys a big house and a Porsche, pinning his hopes
on his job at GTX continuing. During the 2010 recession, he was among
the thousands laid off. With compensation of two months' salary, he
couldn't decide what to do. He still went to the golf club and drove his
Porche. As the truth sank in, he cut out all the luxury and became a
construction worker to prevent his mortgaged house being foreclosed.
These
are huge amounts, 9.9 times the average in Thailand (at Bt15,471) -
based on the total of 16.87 million credit cards at the end of the year
against outstanding credit-card debt of Bt261 billion. But taking into
account the fact that the United States' per capita income is 11 times
higher than Thailand's $4,420, and the fact that the number of merchants
accepting credit cards in the US is far higher, Thailand's figure is
frightening.
Googling credit-card debt in the Thai language, you
will find many websites offering consulting services, and sites where
many debtors share their painful experiences. It surprised me a great
deal to know that so many people out there owe huge amounts on their
credit cards, even though they know the penalty rates. For most
salarymen, it will take them years to clear their debt.
Yes, some
use their cards for cash advances. In theory, you should not use credit
cards unless the money in your bank account is adequate enough to cover
the monthly payments. Yet, in the case of emergencies - like accidents
or illness - you have to use your card.
About 20 years ago, going
to a pawn shop prior to the start of a new school semester was common
in Thailand. Now, with many credit-card issuers out there - including
foreign and Thai banks and non-bank institutions - parents do not need
to pawn TV sets or jewellery to pay for tuition fees and other expenses.
With credit cards they can withdraw cash. With a car, they can tap
money through the car-for-cash service. All that comes at a cost, but
the loans are necessary for the future of their children.
Some
students whose parents do not earn a regular income have to borrow to
fund their studies. Come graduation day, they are indebted and must be
very disciplined with their spending after that, in order to clear the
debt.
Yes, sometimes we do need to borrow, if it is to pave the
way for a better future. For that reason, the government has every
reason to promote its Bt2 trillion borrowing plan for infrasructure
developmnt. Out of 144 economies, Thailand's infrastructure is ranked
46th in the World Economic Forum's "Global Competitiveness Report
2012-2013". In the sub-categories, road quality is ranked 39th, while
railway quality is 65th.
Comparatively, while the score for
overall infrastructure quality has improved from the previous year, only
the quality of roads showed a higher score. The scores for ports,
airports and railways are worse than the previous year.
New
investment is necessary for improvement. It is necessary also because
Thailand is an open economy. We have to compete with so many countries
in the region and world, and some have shown great improvement. Notably,
the Philippines' competitiveness ranking jumped 10 notches to 65th in
the WEF survey.
Yet, like individual debtors, the government must
strictly uphold discipline. While individual debtors can't afford
luxury dinners for a while, the government must not include bad projects
or cloud the transparency of the spending.
In the car-for-cash
loan, individuals need to take the best care of their cars, which are
used to guarantee a loan. Similarly, the government has to make sure
that public funds are wisely spent.
Prime Minister Yingluck
Shinawatra should not mind being called "Madame Googoo" (a coy reference
to a "borrowing queen"). Fifty years from now, she will get many new
nicknames. But if she means well, as she promised, some of them will
certainly have a positive connotation.
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